{"id":1018,"date":"2025-05-02T17:29:19","date_gmt":"2025-05-02T09:29:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.db-hk.com\/?p=1018"},"modified":"2025-05-02T17:29:19","modified_gmt":"2025-05-02T09:29:19","slug":"%e6%af%94%e7%89%b9%e5%b8%81%e5%91%a8%e6%9c%9f%e7%90%86%e8%ae%ba%e5%b7%b2%e6%ad%bb%ef%bc%9f","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.fubairui.net\/?p=1018","title":{"rendered":"\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u5468\u671f\u7406\u8bba\u5df2\u6b7b\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u5468\u671f\u7406\u8bba\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u4e0e\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u51cf\u534a\u4e8b\u4ef6\u7684\u5173\u8054\uff0c\u4e00\u76f4\u4ee5\u6765\u88ab\u89c6\u4e3a\u9884\u6d4b\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u4ef7\u683c\u8d70\u52bf\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u5de5\u5177\u3002\u5386\u53f2\u4e0a\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u51cf\u534a\u901a\u5e38\u4f1a\u5bfc\u81f4\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u4f46\u5f53\u524d\u5e02\u573a\u8868\u73b0\u53ca\u5176\u80cc\u540e\u7684\u56e0\u7d20\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u7406\u8bba\u7684\u6709\u6548\u6027\u53ef\u80fd\u6b63\u5728\u51cf\u5f31\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u672c\u6587\u5c06\u590d\u76d8 2011-2024 \u5e74\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01 4 \u4e2a\u5468\u671f\uff0c\u6df1\u5165\u63a2\u8ba8\u5f53\u524d\u5468\u671f\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u53d8\u5316\u3002<\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.web3sj.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/41c6c9e8e1fd5a93005fb0753c69ad01.png\" alt=\"\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u5468\u671f\u7406\u8bba\u5df2\u6b7b\uff1f\" \/><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"j-lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.web3sj.com\/wp-content\/themes\/justnews\/themer\/assets\/images\/lazy.png\" data-original=\"https:\/\/www.web3sj.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/41c6c9e8e1fd5a93005fb0753c69ad01.png\" alt=\"\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u5468\u671f\u7406\u8bba\u5df2\u6b7b\uff1f\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p><strong>01<\/strong><strong>\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u5468\u671f\u7406\u8bba\u7684\u57fa\u7840<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u6bcf 210,000 \u4e2a\u533a\u5757\u7684\u6316\u77ff\u5956\u52b1\u4f1a\u51cf\u534a\uff0c\u7ea6\u6bcf\u56db\u5e74\u53d1\u751f\u4e00\u6b21\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u673a\u5236\u65e8\u5728\u63a7\u5236\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u7684\u4f9b\u5e94\u91cf\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u589e\u52a0\u5176\u7a00\u7f3a\u6027\u3002\u5386\u53f2\u4e0a\uff0c\u51cf\u534a\u4e8b\u4ef6\u901a\u5e38\u4f34\u968f\u7740\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u4ef7\u683c\u7684\u663e\u8457\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u5f62\u6210\u5468\u671f\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff1a<\/p>\n<p>2012 \u5e74\u51cf\u534a\uff1a\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u4ef7\u683c\u4ece\u5927\u7ea6 12 \u7f8e\u5143\u98d9\u5347\u81f3 2013 \u5e74\u5e95\u7684\u8d85\u8fc7 1000 \u7f8e\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n<p>2016 \u5e74\u51cf\u534a\uff1a\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u4ef7\u683c\u5728\u51cf\u534a\u540e\u4e0d\u4e45\u4e0a\u6da8\u81f3\u8fd1 3000 \u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u5e76\u5728 2017 \u5e74\u5e95\u8fbe\u5230\u8fd1 20000 \u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5386\u53f2\u9ad8\u70b9\u3002<\/p>\n<p>2020 \u5e74\u51cf\u534a\uff1a\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u4ef7\u683c\u5728 2020 \u5e74 5 \u6708\u7684\u51cf\u534a\u540e\uff0c\u8fc5\u901f\u4e0a\u6da8\u81f3 2021 \u5e74\u7684\u5386\u53f2\u65b0\u9ad8\u3002<\/p>\n<p>2012 \u5e74\u30012016 \u5e74\u548c 2020 \u5e74\u7684\u51cf\u534a\u4e8b\u4ef6\u540e\uff0c\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u4ef7\u683c\u5747\u7ecf\u5386\u4e86\u663e\u8457\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u5f62\u6210\u4e86\u660e\u663e\u7684\u725b\u5e02\u5468\u671f\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5386\u53f2\u6570\u636e\u4f7f\u5f97\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u5468\u671f\u7406\u8bba\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u5e7f\u6cdb\u7684\u8ba4\u53ef\u548c\u4fe1\u4efb\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u672c\u8f6e\u5468\u671f\u5728 2024 \u5e74 4 \u6708 20 \u65e5\u5b8c\u6210\u7b2c\u56db\u6b21\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u51cf\u534a\uff0c\u7136\u540e\u51cf\u534a\u540e\u7684\u8868\u73b0\u5374\u4e0d\u5982\u9884\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>02<\/strong><strong>\u51cf\u534a\u540e\u4ef7\u683c\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u5982\u679c\u6211\u4eec\u628a\u5386\u53f2\u4e0a\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u51cf\u534a\u7684\u65e5\u671f\u62c9\u5230\u5750\u6807\u8f74\u540c\u4e00\u8d77\u70b9\uff0c\u5e76\u628a\u4e4b\u540e\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0e\u51cf\u534a\u5f53\u5929\u5e01\u4ef7\u8fdb\u884c\u5bf9\u6bd4\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u53d1\u73b0\u5f53\u524d\u5468\u671f\u7684\u8868\u73b0\u662f\u6700\u5dee\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5728 4 \u6708\u51cf\u534a\u4e8b\u4ef6\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u9996\u6b21\u7a81\u7834\u4e86\u65b0\u7684\u5468\u671f\u6027\u5386\u53f2\u9ad8\u70b9\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd9\u5e76\u672a\u6539\u53d8\u5f53\u524d\u5468\u671f\u76f8\u5bf9\u4f4e\u8ff7\u7684\u8868\u73b0\u3002<\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.web3sj.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/8cd06c8d8ba79a3e76543e95e51af17a.png\" alt=\"\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u5468\u671f\u7406\u8bba\u5df2\u6b7b\uff1f\" \/><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"j-lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.web3sj.com\/wp-content\/themes\/justnews\/themer\/assets\/images\/lazy.png\" data-original=\"https:\/\/www.web3sj.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/8cd06c8d8ba79a3e76543e95e51af17a.png\" alt=\"\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u5468\u671f\u7406\u8bba\u5df2\u6b7b\uff1f\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p>\u4ee5\u4e0b\u662f\u6bcf\u8f6e\u5468\u671f\u51cf\u534a\u540e 144 \u5929\u5de6\u53f3\u4ef7\u683c\u6da8\u8dcc\u60c5\u51b5\uff08\u4e0e\u51cf\u534a\u5f53\u5929\u4ef7\u683c\u5bf9\u6bd4\uff09\uff1a<\/p>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u5468\u671f 1\uff1a+895%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u5468\u671f 2\uff1a+15%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u5468\u671f 3\uff1a+ 37%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u5468\u671f 4\uff1a-11%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u5f53\u524d\u5468\u671f\u51cf\u534a\u540e\u6bd4\u4ee5\u5f80\u5448\u73b0\u66f4\u5f31\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u53cd\u5e94\uff0c\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u8868\u73b0\u4e0d\u4f73\u3002\u8fd9\u7a76\u7adf\u662f\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\uff1f\u672c\u8f6e\u5468\u671f\u4e0e\u6b64\u524d\u6709\u4f55\u4e0d\u540c\uff1f<\/p>\n<p><strong>03<\/strong><strong>\u8d8b\u4e8e\u7a33\u5b9a\u7684\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>2023-2024 \u5e74\u7684\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u5468\u671f\u5728\u67d0\u4e9b\u65b9\u9762\u4e0e\u4ee5\u5f80\u5468\u671f\u76f8\u4f3c\uff0c\u4f46\u4e5f\u5b58\u5728\u660e\u663e\u7684\u4e0d\u540c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5728 2022 \u5e74\u5e95 FTX \u5d29\u6e83\u540e\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u7ecf\u5386\u4e86\u7ea6 18 \u4e2a\u6708\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u7a33\u5b9a\u4e0a\u6da8\u3002\u4f34\u968f\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01 ETF \u901a\u8fc7\uff0c\u65b0\u8d44\u91d1\u4e0d\u65ad\u6d8c\u5165\uff0c\u5728\u8fbe\u5230 73,000 \u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u9ad8\u70b9\u540e\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u8fdb\u5165\u4e86\u4e3a\u671f\u4e09\u4e2a\u6708\u7684\u533a\u95f4\u9707\u8361\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u8fd9\u671f\u95f4\uff0c\u4ece 5 \u6708\u5230 7 \u6708\uff0c\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u4ef7\u683c\u7ecf\u5386\u4e86\u6700\u6df1\u7684\u5468\u671f\u6027\u4fee\u6b63\uff0c\u56de\u8c03\u5e45\u5ea6\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e86 26%\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u8fd9\u4e00\u4e0b\u8dcc\u5e45\u5ea6\u663e\u8457\uff0c\u4f46\u4e0e\u4ee5\u5f80\u5468\u671f\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u8fd9\u6b21\u7684\u4e0b\u8dcc\u660e\u663e\u8f83\u6d45\uff0c\u6ce2\u52a8\u6027\u4e5f\u6709\u6240\u51cf\u5f31\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u51fa\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u5e02\u573a\u7ed3\u6784\u76f8\u5bf9\u7a33\u5b9a\uff0c\u4f5c\u4e3a\u91d1\u878d\u8d44\u4ea7\u6bd4\u4e4b\u524d\u66f4\u6210\u719f\u3002<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.web3sj.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/1f269a67bfce34e38e97c4f8e3637576.png\" alt=\"\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u5468\u671f\u7406\u8bba\u5df2\u6b7b\uff1f\" \/><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"j-lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.web3sj.com\/wp-content\/themes\/justnews\/themer\/assets\/images\/lazy.png\" data-original=\"https:\/\/www.web3sj.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/1f269a67bfce34e38e97c4f8e3637576.png\" alt=\"\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u5468\u671f\u7406\u8bba\u5df2\u6b7b\uff1f\" \/><\/figure>\n<p>\u6211\u4eec\u6765\u770b\u4e00\u4e0b\u53e6\u4e00\u4e2a\u6280\u672f\u6307\u6807 MVRV Z-score\uff0c\u540c\u6837\u4e5f\u53ef\u4ee5\u770b\u51fa\u4e0d\u540c\u5468\u671f\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u5e02\u573a\u8868\u73b0\u7684\u5dee\u5f02\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u9996\u5148\uff0cMVRV-Z \u5206\u6570\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u76f8\u5bf9\u6307\u6807\uff0c\u8ba1\u7b97\u516c\u5f0f\u4e3a\uff1a\uff08\u6d41\u901a\u5e02\u503c &#8211; \u5df2\u5b9e\u73b0\u5e02\u503c\uff09\/ \u6807\u51c6\u5dee\uff08\u6d41\u901a\u5e02\u503c\uff09\u3002\u5f53\u8be5\u6307\u6807\u8fc7\u9ad8\u65f6\uff0c\u8868\u793a\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u4ef7\u503c\u76f8\u5bf9\u4e8e\u5176\u771f\u5b9e\u4ef7\u503c\u88ab\u9ad8\u4f30\uff0c\u8fd9\u5bf9\u4ef7\u683c\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0d\u5229\u3002\u53cd\u4e4b\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u8be5\u6307\u6807\u8f83\u4f4e\uff0c\u5219\u610f\u5473\u7740\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u4ef7\u503c\u88ab\u4f4e\u4f30\u3002<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.web3sj.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/e6f6b113360fe94c2d16b634a3bf7190.png\" alt=\"\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u5468\u671f\u7406\u8bba\u5df2\u6b7b\uff1f\" \/><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"j-lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.web3sj.com\/wp-content\/themes\/justnews\/themer\/assets\/images\/lazy.png\" data-original=\"https:\/\/www.web3sj.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/e6f6b113360fe94c2d16b634a3bf7190.png\" alt=\"\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u5468\u671f\u7406\u8bba\u5df2\u6b7b\uff1f\" \/><\/figure>\n<p>\u4ece\u4e0a\u56fe 2010 \u5e74 -2024 \u5e74\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u770b\u51fa\uff0c\u76f8\u6bd4\u4e4b\u524d\u5468\u671f\uff0cMVRV-Z \u5206\u6570\uff08\u7eff\u8272\u7ebf\uff09\u6ce2\u52a8\u3001\u5cf0\u503c\u548c\u56de\u62a5\u76f8\u5bf9\u6e29\u548c\uff0c\u5e76\u4e0d\u50cf\u65e9\u671f\u90a3\u822c\u5e45\u5ea6\u5927\u3002\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u5f00\u59cb\u8d8b\u4e8e\u4e00\u79cd\u7a33\u5b9a\u7684\u3001\u9010\u6b65\u4e0a\u5347\u7684\u8d70\u52bf\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u4ee5\u5f80\u90a3\u79cd\u5267\u70c8\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u98d9\u5347\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u6e10\u8fdb\u5f0f\u7684\u589e\u957f\u6a21\u5f0f\u5728\u957f\u671f\u6765\u770b\u66f4\u5177\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>04\u6ce2\u52a8\u6027\u51cf\u5f31\u7684\u539f\u56e0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u7528\u4e00\u4e2a\u6570\u636e\u6307\u6807\u76f4\u89c2\u89e3\u91ca\uff0c\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u6ce2\u52a8\u6027\u51cf\u5f31\uff0c\u8d8b\u4e8e\u7a33\u5b9a\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01 5+ Years HODL Wave \u6307\u6807\uff0c\u663e\u793a\u4e86\u81f3\u5c11 5 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src=\"https:\/\/www.web3sj.com\/wp-content\/themes\/justnews\/themer\/assets\/images\/lazy.png\" data-original=\"https:\/\/www.web3sj.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/1b59a1d74a3cd2797cc8e54b7fbabf9c.png\" alt=\"\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u5468\u671f\u7406\u8bba\u5df2\u6b7b\uff1f\" \/><\/figure>\n<p>\u4ece\u56fe\u4e2d\u53ef\u4ee5\u770b\u51fa\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u8d85\u8fc7 30% 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